Block Scholes Research

Block Scholes Research

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Block Scholes Research
Block Scholes Research
Bitcoin Breakout

Bitcoin Breakout

Bitcoin appears to have regained the momentum it lost in January – surging back above $94K just weeks after brushing a 2025 low of $75K.

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Andrew Melville
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Thahbib Rahman
Apr 24, 2025
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Block Scholes Research
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Bitcoin Breakout
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Bitcoin appears to have regained the momentum it lost in January – surging back above $94K just weeks after brushing a 2025 low of $75K. Despite US equities (and all other US assets, frankly) breathing a sigh of relief this week after Trump relinquished the worst of his tariff brinkmanship, BTC had held firm even before that.

The subsequent crypto-rally comes amid signs that Bitcoin appears to have broken free from the strong correlation with US equities that had shaped its price action in recent months.

Figure 1. BTC spot price (orange, left-hand axis) and SPX (red, right-hand axis) since August 2024. Sources: Bloomberg, Block Scholes 

Our in-house view of 2025 began with several reasons that crypto was uniquely poised to detach from the harsh macro backdrop driving the rest of the market. In particular, we set out three factors that could drive crypto assets:

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