Block Scholes Research

Block Scholes Research

Powell Challenges Easing Outlook

BTC traded at approximately $76,000, down 2.0% on the day and more than 40% below its $126,000 October all-time high, following a hawkish Fed hold. The FOMC kept rates unchanged at 3.50–3.75%.

Tazmina's avatar
Catherine (Block Scholes)'s avatar
Thahbib Rahman's avatar
Tazmina, Catherine (Block Scholes), and Thahbib Rahman
Apr 30, 2026
∙ Paid

Find out our latest reports, listed below:

  • Tokenised Markets on Bitget UEX: How Traders Are Utilising 24/7 Real-World Assets For Real Time Macro Hedging

  • Block Scholes x Panoptic: Bridging The Onchain Convexity Gap

  • Volatility Report: February 2026

  • 2026 – the year of RWA perps?

Market Snapshot: Overnight Moves

Daily Updates:

  • After yesterday’s hawkish Fed hold, BTC is now trading around $76k, down roughly 2% on the day and off about 1.9% from yesterday’s $77k print, leaving it more than 40% below the $126k all-time high set last October.

  • The slide in spot price has also coincided with a sharp move higher in the dollar and a renewed risk-off tone, after the FOMC voted 8-4 to keep the funds rate at 3.50–3.75% — the most divided decision since 1992 — and Chair Powell warned that the energy-price surge had “not yet peaked,” flagging that the easing bias could be dropped as soon as the next meeting.

  • The S&P 500 absorbed the hawkish tilt without much damage and closed marginally lower at $7,135.95, down 0.04%, while the Nasdaq-100 actually edged up to $27,186.99 as traders positioned ahead of Microsoft, Meta, Alphabet and Amazon earnings. The dollar was the clear winner: DXY climbed about 0.4% to roughly 98.98, peaking near 99.05 during Powell’s press conference before fading slightly into the close.

This post is for paid subscribers

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2026 Andrew Melville · Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start your SubstackGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture