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Block Scholes Research

US Moves Closer to Ending Shutdown

The U.S. government shutdown, now 42 days long, appears close to ending after centrist Democrats joined Republicans to pass a temporary spending bill supported by President Trump, with Polymarket odds pointing to a 14 November resolution. Markets reacted

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Nov 11, 2025
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📰 Shutdown Progress, Policy Shifts, and a Pause in Crypto

Momentum is building in Washington as the Senate advances a bipartisan bill to end the 42-day government shutdown — now the longest in U.S. history — with President Trump signalling his support. Markets welcomed the progress, though crypto remained subdued after its weekend rebound, with BTC steady around $105K and ETH near $3.5K. Attention now turns to how a mid-November resolution may shape the Fed’s December rate outlook, as policymakers navigate limited data visibility. In digital assets, a bipartisan proposal seeks to hand crypto oversight to the CFTC, Strategy added to its growing Bitcoin treasury, and SUI Group’s new partnership with Bluefin aims to bring more institutional liquidity on-chain.

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Market Snapshot: Overnight Moves

Daily Updates:

  • The U.S. government has moved closer to ending its shutdown, already the longest ever at 42 days since its beginning on Oct 1, 2025.

  • Polymarket odds now predict a Nov 14 end date, after centrist Democrats crossed the aisle in the Senate to pass a temporary spending measure that dropped a key progressive demand to renew Obamacare subsidies.

  • Having passed the first hurdle in the Senate, the bill now moves to the House of Representatives, where it must secure approval before reaching the President’s desk. The legislation has already received President Trump’s endorsement, suggesting a potential resolution to the shutdown may be within reach.

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